Alerts:
none
Solar-terrestrial indices for 09 December follow.
Solar flux 71 and estimated planetary A-index 4.
The estimated planetary K-index at 1200 UTC on 10 December was 1.
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
Geo Magnetic Forecast:
NOAA Ap Index Forecast
Observed Ap 08 Dec 003
Estimated Ap 09 Dec 008
Predicted Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 005-005-005
NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Moderate storm 01/01/01
Strong-Extreme storm 01/01/01
NOAA Kp index forecast 10 Dec - 12 Dec
Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12
00-03UT 2 2 2
03-06UT 1 1 1
06-09UT 1 1 1
09-12UT 1 1 1
12-15UT 1 1 1
15-18UT 1 1 1
18-21UT 2 2 2
21-00UT 2 2 2
Extended Three Day Forecast:
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 10-Dec 12 2019 is 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 10-Dec 12 2019
Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12
00-03UT 1 2 2
03-06UT 2 1 1
06-09UT 1 1 1
09-12UT 1 1 1
12-15UT 1 1 1
15-18UT 1 1 1
18-21UT 1 2 2
21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2019
Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2019
Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12
R1-R2 1% 1% 1%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.
Extended Space Weather Discussion:
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was spotless. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels on 10-12 Dec.
Energetic Particles
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to persist at normal to
moderate levels on 10-12 Dec. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels throughout the period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters became enhanced over the course of the period due
to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Total field values increased to
5-9 nT, and the Bz component underwent a brief, southward deflection of
-9 nT. Wind speeds became elevated from ambient, back-ground levels to
speeds of ~450 km/s. The phi angle was predominantly in a negative
orientation, but did undergo brief excursions into a positive solar
sector.
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are anticipated to remain slightly elevated over
the remainder of 10 Dec. A return to an ambient solar wind environment
is expected for 11-12 Dec.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
.Forecast...
Quiet conditions, with a chance for isolated unsettled activity, is
expected for 10 Dec. Quiet conditions are expected 11-12 Dec.
27 Day Forecast:
Date | Radio Flux | Planetary A Index | Largest Kp Index
2019 Dec 09 70 8 3
2019 Dec 10 70 5 2
2019 Dec 11 70 5 2
2019 Dec 12 70 5 2
2019 Dec 13 70 8 3
2019 Dec 14 70 8 3
2019 Dec 15 70 5 2
2019 Dec 16 70 5 2
2019 Dec 17 70 5 2
2019 Dec 18 70 12 4
2019 Dec 19 70 10 4
2019 Dec 20 70 10 3
2019 Dec 21 70 10 3
2019 Dec 22 70 5 2
2019 Dec 23 70 5 2
2019 Dec 24 70 5 2
2019 Dec 25 70 5 2
2019 Dec 26 70 5 2
2019 Dec 27 70 5 2
2019 Dec 28 70 5 2
2019 Dec 29 70 5 2
2019 Dec 30 70 5 2
2019 Dec 31 70 5 2
2020 Jan 01 70 5 2
2020 Jan 02 70 5 2
2020 Jan 03 70 5 2
2020 Jan 04 70 5 2
v4.10b
v4.X Release 10th Oct 2019)
Addded the ability to add 2 custom Magnetometers in settings (comming soon) (18/10/19).
Improved Hobart Magnetometer code. (18/18/19)
Move all presets into their own pop out side menu. (19/06/19)
Added Composite weather maps (TAS, VIC and SA), thanks to Oz forecast! (19/06/19)
UI Upgrades, Name, Logo and Website Site Changes.
Added custom line widths for most items.
Added GOES Difference (#1 - #2)
Added Ovation-prime model outputs.
v3.8x
Various Updates, New AF Index Algo. (8/12/18)
v3.6x
Added more Presets. Disabled Presets overwriting graph views (6/7/18)
Added GeoSpace Kp Model Prediction. (3/7/18)
Added SWPC Kp Forecast + Observation. (2/7/18)
Removed WingKP and USKp. :( No longer Avaliable. (2/7/18)
Removed feed from www.dunedinaurora.nz (Unreliable). (2/7/18)
Updates to latest JQuery, JQuery Mobile and AmCharts etc. (2/7/18)
Enhanced Pro setting with Dynamic Preasure. (2/7/18)
Added Quickselect preset buttons to main page. (2/7/18)
v3.5x
Added Ruru Observatory Magnetometer. (25/4/28)
Added Forecast Sub Tabset. (1/3/18)
Added Extended Discussion Text, 27Day FC (1/3/18)
Removed Dial, and Added Forecast Report. (28/2/18)
Updated A few settings for better visilation. (28/2/18)
Updated Goes-13 is Now Goes-14 (15/2/18)
Improved Commmunity Activity for faster loads.
Consolidated Proton Density / Dynamic Preasure.
Added Additional Balloon Text.
Added TAFS Visual Probability in %.
User Interface Upgrades.
Add 'Dial' for the basics, with default support.
Added one click presets.
v2.1 - v2.49
Added 'Automatic Chart Update' option in settings.
Database caching enabled, significant load time improvements.
Extension to max 96 hours of data, up from 24.
Added ACE Bt,Bx and By for comparison.
Added More User Presets.
Fixed Orentation Change Alert.
Small layout changes.
Added Header Image.
Removed Top Header to fee up Space, Refresh added to Chart Tab.
Added Community Activity Indicator
Fixed MAG value issues in graph.
Added Second Hobart MAG Source.
Updated Comment Features (Disable).
v2.0
Fixed DSCOVR B? display bug.
Added MAG Stack Feature.
Upgrade to json feeds.
Feeds are timezone and forecast aware, making them super fast.
DB Optimisation, improved DB search times.
Charts are now zoomable, allow selection and export.
Added USAF Kp, Updated Wing Kp.
Added Ovation Aurora Short Term Forecast.
Added Macquarie Island MAG feed.
Added Mawson MAG Feed.
Added Canberra Feed.
Added MAG feed from www.dunedinaurora.nz (Portobello).
Added Brendan's experemental MAG feed (Hobart).
Fixed cookie bug, One Alert is enough for landscape mode.
> v1.0 (Started 20/10/2014)
Mawson and Macquarie Island data is copyright Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia), and redistributed under Creative Commons v4.
Thanks to INTERMAGNET for promoting high standards of magnetic observatory practice in providing access to these feeds. (www.intermagnet.org).
Local Australian weather composite maps provided by Oz Forecast